Case · 9 skins · 0 gold
Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package
Everything the Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package can drop, with Valve's odds per open and today's cheapest ask for each item. The expected drop value is those odds times the mean ask of each tier, priced items only, before the key.
€1.28case · Buff163 bids
9skins in the case
€21.76expected drop value per open
0.26 %knife or glove odds
Drop odds and valueper open
Covert0 skins0.64 % per open
unpricedClassified0 skins3.20 % per open
unpricedRestricted2 skins15.98 % per open
€31.02Mil-Spec1 skin79.92 % per open
€21.03Rare special0 items0.26 % per open
unpriced
Skins in the case
XM1014 | Fallout WarningIndustrial€6.74
P90 | Fallout WarningIndustrial€5.95
UMP-45 | Fallout WarningIndustrial€5.60
PP-Bizon | Irradiated AlertConsumer€1.88
MAG-7 | Irradiated AlertConsumer€1.67
Sawed-Off | Irradiated AlertConsumer€1.12
Tec-9 | Nuclear ThreatRestricted€31.65
P250 | Nuclear ThreatRestricted€30.38
M4A4 | Radiation HazardMil-Spec€21.03
Opening a case is a lottery with published odds: four in five drops are Mil-Spec, a knife or glove comes about once in four hundred. The expected drop value above is what those odds are worth at today's cheapest asks, before the key, and it is below the case-plus-key price for almost every case. Buying the skin you want outright is nearly always cheaper. Trading five Coverts from this case into a knife is a different bet with different odds, on the trade-up page.