CS:GO Weapon Case

Opening a case is a lottery with published odds: four in five drops are Mil-Spec, a knife or glove comes about once in four hundred. The expected drop value above is what those odds are worth at today's cheapest asks, before the key, and it is below the case-plus-key price for almost every case. Buying the skin you want outright is nearly always cheaper. Trading five Coverts from this case into a knife is a different bet with different odds, on the trade-up page.