CS:GO Weapon Case trade-up: knives outcomes

The pool holds 60 knives, listed in full above with the price of each. The models in the pool are Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit, M9 Bayonet.

€1,993 at the cheapest, which is five copies of AWP | Lightning Strike at €399 each, the case's cheapest Covert ask, read 2026-10-19. Those are real listings, not an average, and the cheapest listing is usually the worst wear.

1 in 60, 1.7 percent, when all five inputs come from this case. Each item in the pool is equally likely. Mix in Coverts from another case and each case gets a fifth of the odds per input, then the item is drawn evenly from whichever pool wins.

Anywhere from Factory New to Battle-Scarred, depending which item you land. Five copies of AWP | Lightning Strike in Factory New is the cheapest way in, and the cheapest listing in a wear band sits at the worst float of that band, 0.069999 here. Valve normalises that against the skin's own float range first, which puts it 87 percent of the way up, then maps that position into the knife or glove's range. Buy cleaner floats inside the same band and every landing gets cleaner with them; the table above shows the cheap version.

Yes. The eSports 2014 Summer Case holds exactly the same 60 golds at the same 1 in 60 odds, and its five-Covert ticket is €291 against €1,993 here, 85 percent less for the identical contract, read 2026-10-19. The table above prices every case that draws this pool, eleven of them counting this one.

No. This case's gold pool is knives only, so no contract from it can land gloves.

One of the 29 priced gold items comes out, listed today between €92.71 and €4,351. Above the €1,993 ticket: 1 of them. Below it: 28. Those gold prices are quoted at each item's cleanest wear, and the ticket does not buy that: five copies of AWP | Lightning Strike in Factory New land this pool in Factory New through Battle-Scarred, where the same items list a median 38 percent lower. The landing column on the table is the one to read. Priced at the wear they land in, not one of the 59 gold items we can quote clears the €1,993 ticket. Every branch of this contract is a loss at asks read 2026-10-19. Treat the contract as a way to pick a pool you want, not as a way to make money, and price your own five floats in the calculator before you commit.