Fracture Case trade-up: knives outcomes

The pool holds 48 knives, listed in full above with the price of each. The models in the pool are Nomad Knife, Paracord Knife, Skeleton Knife, Survival Knife.

€127 at the cheapest, which is five copies of AK-47 | Legion of Anubis at €25.46 each, the case's cheapest Covert ask, read 2026-10-19. Those are real listings, not an average, and the cheapest listing is usually the worst wear.

1 in 48, 2.1 percent, when all five inputs come from this case. Each item in the pool is equally likely. Mix in Coverts from another case and each case gets a fifth of the odds per input, then the item is drawn evenly from whichever pool wins.

Anywhere from Factory New to Battle-Scarred, depending which item you land. Five copies of AK-47 | Legion of Anubis in Field-Tested is the cheapest way in, and the cheapest listing in a wear band sits at the worst float of that band, 0.379999 here. Valve normalises that against the skin's own float range first, which puts it 54 percent of the way up, then maps that position into the knife or glove's range. Buy cleaner floats inside the same band and every landing gets cleaner with them; the table above shows the cheap version.

No. one other case draws from the same 48 golds at the same odds, and none of them is cheaper to enter than this one at 2026-10-19. The table above prices every one of them.

No. This case's gold pool is knives only, so no contract from it can land gloves.

One of the 37 priced gold items comes out, listed today between €62.06 and €1,034. Above the €127 ticket: 22 of them. Below it: 15. Those gold prices are quoted at each item's cleanest wear, and the ticket does not buy that: five copies of AK-47 | Legion of Anubis in Field-Tested land this pool in Factory New through Battle-Scarred, where the same items list a median 50 percent lower. The landing column on the table is the one to read. Priced at the wear they land in, 8 of the 48 quotable gold items clear the €127 ticket, 17 percent of the pool, against 22 of 37 on the clean quotes. The gap between those two numbers is the wear. Treat the contract as a way to pick a pool you want, not as a way to make money, and price your own five floats in the calculator before you commit.