Operation Wildfire Case trade-up: Bowie Knife outcomes
Knife trade-up · Operation Wildfire Case · priced 2026-10-20
Operation Wildfire Case: five Coverts into one of 12 knives, at 1 in 12 each. The five cheapest Coverts cost €127 together today, led by the M4A4 | The Battlestar at €25.49. The gold runs from €97.68 to €212 at the best book, net of its fee. 4 of the 6 priced golds list above the ticket. Asks read 2026-10-20.
M4A4 | The Battlestar · MW ×5 = €127
The builder prices each Covert live at the float you set, so its cost can differ a little from the ticket above (the cheapest listing, five times).
Covert inputs: what five of them cost
| Picture | Name | Cheapest ask | Wear | Float range | Follow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | M4A4 | The BattlestarMW · 0.00 to 0.64€25.49 | €25.49 | MW | 0.00 to 0.64 | |
 | AK-47 | Fuel InjectorBS · 0.00 to 1.00€81.95 | €81.95 | BS | 0.00 to 1.00 |
More on these numbers
Cheapest ask first, across Skinport, CSFloat and Skins.com, with the wear that ask belongs to and the float range the skin rolls in. Five of any of these run the contract; five of the cheapest is the ticket price. Case first on sale 2016-01-19.
Bowie Knife outcomes
Each item in the case's rare pool is equally likely. StatTrak inputs keep only the knives.
| Picture | Name | Chance | Cleanest wear | Lands at | Worth there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Fade8.33% · FN€153 | 8.33% | €153 | FN 0.01875 | €153 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web8.33% · FT€82.24 | 8.33% | · | FT 0.233436 | €82.24 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter8.33% · FN€156 | 8.33% | €156 | FN 0.068593 | €156 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened | ||||
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked | ||||
| ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened8.33% · FT€103 | 8.33% | · | FT 0.234373 | €103 |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked8.33% · FT€44.60 | 8.33% | · | FT 0.233436 | €44.60 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel8.33% · FT€78.84 | 8.33% | €209 | FT 0.234373 | €78.84 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Night8.33% · FT€48.49 | 8.33% | · | FT 0.233436 | €48.49 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Stained8.33% · FT€54.13 | 8.33% | €212 | FT 0.234373 | €54.13 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT8.33% · FT€39.39 | 8.33% | €97.68 | FT 0.233436 | €39.39 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest8.33% · FT€39.35 | 8.33% | €126 | FT 0.233436 | €39.35 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched8.33% · FT€46.04 | 8.33% | · | FT 0.233436 | €46.04 |
 | ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh8.33% · FT€36.53 | 8.33% | · | FT 0.233436 | €36.53 |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched | ||||
| ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh |
9 more outcomes2 more outcomes
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More on these numbers
The first price is what the best book pays you for it, net of that book's fee, at the item's cleanest wear. The last two are the wear five of the cheapest Covert actually land it in, and what that copy pays.
Other cases that land the same knives
Nothing else lands these. The twelve gold items above belong to the Operation Wildfire Case alone out of every case we carry, so this contract is the only way into them. Every case's pool, ticket and odds sit side by side on the knife trade-up page.
What the ticket buys
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The cheapest way into this pool right now is M4A4 | The Battlestar in Minimal Wear at €25.49, so five of them are a €127 ticket at asks read 2026-10-20. Every gold item in this pool is a Bowie Knife, so the contract cannot pick the model for you: the only question is which finish you land.
4 of the 6 priced gold items in this pool list above the €127 ticket, so the roll pays on 67 percent of the pool at asks read 2026-10-20. That is a ceiling, not a forecast. Those gold prices are quoted at each item's cleanest wear, and the ticket does not buy that: five copies of M4A4 | The Battlestar in Minimal Wear land this pool in Factory New through Field-Tested, where the same items list a median 61 percent lower. The landing column on the table is the one to read.
Priced at the wear they land in, 2 of the 12 quotable gold items clear the €127 ticket, 17 percent of the pool, against 4 of 6 on the clean quotes. The gap between those two numbers is the wear. The float that gets there is not the one on the listing. The cheapest Minimal Wear copy sits at 0.149999, which is 23 percent of the way up that skin's own range, and it is that percentage, not the raw float, that maps into the knife's range.
Prefer choosing the knife you receive? Compare the cheapest CS2 knives by budget before buying contract inputs.
Put five Coverts from the Operation Wildfire Case into a contract and you get one of the twelve gold items above. The output float is the normalised average of your five inputs, mapped into the knife or glove's own range, which is why the float column on the inputs table matters as much as the price one. Set your exact floats in the trade-up calculator to see the wear you'd land, read how trade-ups work if the float maths is new, and compare every case's pool, odds and ticket cost on the knife trade-up page.
Operation Wildfire Case trade-up questions
Which knives can you get from the Operation Wildfire Case?
The pool holds twelve knives, listed in full above with the price of each. They are all Bowie Knife finishes, so the model is decided before you start.
How much does a knife trade-up from the Operation Wildfire Case cost?
€127 at the cheapest, which is five copies of M4A4 | The Battlestar at €25.49 each, the case's cheapest Covert ask, read 2026-10-20. Those are real listings, not an average, and the cheapest listing is usually the worst wear.
What are the odds of a specific knife from the Operation Wildfire Case?
1 in 12, 8.3 percent, when all five inputs come from this case. Each item in the pool is equally likely. Mix in Coverts from another case and each case gets a fifth of the odds per input, then the item is drawn evenly from whichever pool wins.
What wear knife do you get from the Operation Wildfire Case trade-up?
Anywhere from Factory New to Field-Tested, depending which item you land. Five copies of M4A4 | The Battlestar in Minimal Wear is the cheapest way in, and the cheapest listing in a wear band sits at the worst float of that band, 0.149999 here. Valve normalises that against the skin's own float range first, which puts it 23 percent of the way up, then maps that position into the knife or glove's range. Buy cleaner floats inside the same band and every landing gets cleaner with them; the table above shows the cheap version.
Is there a cheaper case with the same knives as the Operation Wildfire Case?
No. Out of the 43 cases with a gold pool, none other than the Operation Wildfire Case draws from these twelve items, so there is no cheaper door into them.
Can you get gloves from the Operation Wildfire Case?
No. This case's gold pool is knives only, so no contract from it can land gloves.
What comes out of the Operation Wildfire Case trade-up, net of fees?
One of the 6 priced gold items comes out, listed today between €97.68 and €212. Above the €127 ticket: 4 of them. Below it: 2. Those gold prices are quoted at each item's cleanest wear, and the ticket does not buy that: five copies of M4A4 | The Battlestar in Minimal Wear land this pool in Factory New through Field-Tested, where the same items list a median 61 percent lower. The landing column on the table is the one to read. Priced at the wear they land in, 2 of the 12 quotable gold items clear the €127 ticket, 17 percent of the pool, against 4 of 6 on the clean quotes. The gap between those two numbers is the wear. Treat the contract as a way to pick a pool you want, not as a way to make money, and price your own five floats in the calculator before you commit.