Danger Zone Case trade-up: knives outcomes

The pool holds 48 knives, listed in full above with the price of each. The models in the pool are Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife, Ursus Knife.

€152 at the cheapest, which is five copies of AWP | Neo-Noir at €30.48 each, the case's cheapest Covert ask, read 2026-10-19. Those are real listings, not an average, and the cheapest listing is usually the worst wear.

1 in 48, 2.1 percent, when all five inputs come from this case. Each item in the pool is equally likely. Mix in Coverts from another case and each case gets a fifth of the odds per input, then the item is drawn evenly from whichever pool wins.

Anywhere from Minimal Wear to Battle-Scarred, depending which item you land. Five copies of AWP | Neo-Noir in Battle-Scarred is the cheapest way in, and the cheapest listing in a wear band sits at the worst float of that band, 0.5 here. Valve normalises that against the skin's own float range first, which puts it 100 percent of the way up, then maps that position into the knife or glove's range. Buy cleaner floats inside the same band and every landing gets cleaner with them; the table above shows the cheap version.

No. one other case draws from the same 48 golds at the same odds, and none of them is cheaper to enter than this one at 2026-10-19. The table above prices every one of them.

No. This case's gold pool is knives only, so no contract from it can land gloves.

One of the 25 priced gold items comes out, listed today between €72.30 and €707. Above the €152 ticket: 13 of them. Below it: 12. Those gold prices are quoted at each item's cleanest wear, and the ticket does not buy that: five copies of AWP | Neo-Noir in Battle-Scarred land this pool in Minimal Wear through Battle-Scarred, where the same items list a median 47 percent lower. The landing column on the table is the one to read. Priced at the wear they land in, 18 of the 47 quotable gold items clear the €152 ticket, 38 percent of the pool. Treat the contract as a way to pick a pool you want, not as a way to make money, and price your own five floats in the calculator before you commit.