Horizon Case trade-up: knives outcomes

The pool holds 48 knives, listed in full above with the price of each. The models in the pool are Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife, Ursus Knife.

€170 at the cheapest, which is five copies of Desert Eagle | Code Red at €34.00 each, the case's cheapest Covert ask, read 2026-10-19. Those are real listings, not an average, and the cheapest listing is usually the worst wear.

1 in 48, 2.1 percent, when all five inputs come from this case. Each item in the pool is equally likely. Mix in Coverts from another case and each case gets a fifth of the odds per input, then the item is drawn evenly from whichever pool wins.

Anywhere from Factory New to Field-Tested, depending which item you land. Five copies of Desert Eagle | Code Red in Field-Tested is the cheapest way in, and the cheapest listing in a wear band sits at the worst float of that band, 0.379999 here. Valve normalises that against the skin's own float range first, which puts it 38 percent of the way up, then maps that position into the knife or glove's range. Buy cleaner floats inside the same band and every landing gets cleaner with them; the table above shows the cheap version.

Yes. The Danger Zone Case holds exactly the same 48 golds at the same 1 in 48 odds, and its five-Covert ticket is €152 against €170 here, 10 percent less for the identical contract, read 2026-10-19. The table above prices every case that draws this pool, two of them counting this one.

No. This case's gold pool is knives only, so no contract from it can land gloves.

One of the 25 priced gold items comes out, listed today between €72.30 and €707. Above the €170 ticket: 13 of them. Below it: 12. Those gold prices are quoted at each item's cleanest wear, and the ticket does not buy that: five copies of Desert Eagle | Code Red in Field-Tested land this pool in Factory New through Field-Tested, where the same items list a median 49 percent lower. The landing column on the table is the one to read. Priced at the wear they land in, 13 of the 48 quotable gold items clear the €170 ticket, 27 percent of the pool. Treat the contract as a way to pick a pool you want, not as a way to make money, and price your own five floats in the calculator before you commit.