Shadow Case trade-up: Shadow Daggers outcomes
Knife trade-up · Shadow Case · priced 2026-10-19
Shadow Case: five Coverts into one of 12 knives, at 1 in 12 each. The five cheapest Coverts cost €208 together today, led by the M4A1-S | Golden Coil at €41.50. The gold runs from €77.50 to €109 at the best book, net of its fee. 0 of the 3 priced golds list above the ticket. Asks read 2026-10-19.
M4A1-S | Golden Coil · BS ×5 = €208
The builder prices each Covert live at the float you set, so its cost can differ a little from the ticket above (the cheapest listing, five times).
Covert inputs: what five of them cost
| Picture | Name | Cheapest ask | Wear | Float range | Follow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | M4A1-S | Golden CoilBS · 0.00 to 1.00€41.50 | €41.50 | BS | 0.00 to 1.00 | |
 | USP-S | Kill ConfirmedBS · 0.00 to 1.00€43.47 | €43.47 | BS | 0.00 to 1.00 |
More on these numbers
Cheapest ask first, across Skinport, CSFloat and Skins.com, with the wear that ask belongs to and the float range the skin rolls in. Five of any of these run the contract; five of the cheapest is the ticket price.
Shadow Daggers outcomes
Each item in the case's rare pool is equally likely. StatTrak inputs keep only the knives.
| Picture | Name | Chance | Cleanest wear | Lands at | Worth there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade8.33% · MW€284 | 8.33% | €108 | MW 0.08 | €284 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web8.33% · BS€51.67 | 8.33% | · | BS 0.8 | €51.67 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter8.33% · FT€91.36 | 8.33% | €77.50 | FT 0.26 | €91.36 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened | ||||
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked | ||||
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened8.33% · BS€74.81 | 8.33% | · | BS 1 | €74.81 |
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked8.33% · BS€47.49 | 8.33% | €109 | BS 0.8 | €47.49 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel8.33% · BS€49.14 | 8.33% | · | BS 1 | €49.14 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Night8.33% · BS€47.39 | 8.33% | · | BS 0.8 | €47.39 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Stained8.33% · BS€42.14 | 8.33% | · | BS 1 | €42.14 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT8.33% · BS€32.03 | 8.33% | · | BS 0.8 | €32.03 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest8.33% · BS€33.54 | 8.33% | · | BS 0.8 | €33.54 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched8.33% · BS€35.26 | 8.33% | · | BS 0.8 | €35.26 |
 | ★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh8.33% · BS€40.40 | 8.33% | · | BS 0.8 | €40.40 |
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched | ||||
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh |
9 more outcomes2 more outcomes · cheapest next one €35.26
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More on these numbers
The first price is what the best book pays you for it, net of that book's fee, at the item's cleanest wear. The last two are the wear five of the cheapest Covert actually land it in, and what that copy pays.
Other cases that land the same knives
Nothing else lands these. The twelve gold items above belong to the Shadow Case alone out of every case we carry, so this contract is the only way into them. Every case's pool, ticket and odds sit side by side on the knife trade-up page.
What the ticket buys
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The cheapest way into this pool right now is M4A1-S | Golden Coil in Battle-Scarred at €41.50, so five of them are a €208 ticket at asks read 2026-10-19. Every gold item in this pool is a Shadow Daggers, so the contract cannot pick the model for you: the only question is which finish you land.
Not one of the three priced gold items in this pool lists above the €208 ticket. Every outcome is a loss at these prices, before you even argue about wear.
Priced at the wear they land in, 1 of the 12 quotable gold items clears the €208 ticket, 8 percent of the pool. The float that gets there is not the one on the listing. The cheapest Battle-Scarred copy sits at the top of its band, 1, and Valve measures that against the skin's own range before averaging, which puts it at 100 percent of the way up. That percentage, not the raw float, is what maps into the knife's range, so a clean looking input can still hand you a beaten knife.
Prefer choosing the knife you receive? Compare the cheapest CS2 knives by budget before buying contract inputs.
Put five Coverts from the Shadow Case into a contract and you get one of the twelve gold items above. The output float is the normalised average of your five inputs, mapped into the knife or glove's own range, which is why the float column on the inputs table matters as much as the price one. Set your exact floats in the trade-up calculator to see the wear you'd land, read how trade-ups work if the float maths is new, and compare every case's pool, odds and ticket cost on the knife trade-up page.
Shadow Case trade-up questions
Which knives can you get from the Shadow Case?
The pool holds twelve knives, listed in full above with the price of each. They are all Shadow Daggers finishes, so the model is decided before you start.
How much does a knife trade-up from the Shadow Case cost?
€208 at the cheapest, which is five copies of M4A1-S | Golden Coil at €41.50 each, the case's cheapest Covert ask, read 2026-10-19. Those are real listings, not an average, and the cheapest listing is usually the worst wear.
What are the odds of a specific knife from the Shadow Case?
1 in 12, 8.3 percent, when all five inputs come from this case. Each item in the pool is equally likely. Mix in Coverts from another case and each case gets a fifth of the odds per input, then the item is drawn evenly from whichever pool wins.
What wear knife do you get from the Shadow Case trade-up?
Anywhere from Minimal Wear to Battle-Scarred, depending which item you land. Five copies of M4A1-S | Golden Coil in Battle-Scarred is the cheapest way in, and the cheapest listing in a wear band sits at the worst float of that band, 1 here. Valve normalises that against the skin's own float range first, which puts it 100 percent of the way up, then maps that position into the knife or glove's range. Buy cleaner floats inside the same band and every landing gets cleaner with them; the table above shows the cheap version.
Is there a cheaper case with the same knives as the Shadow Case?
No. Out of the 43 cases with a gold pool, none other than the Shadow Case draws from these twelve items, so there is no cheaper door into them.
Can you get gloves from the Shadow Case?
No. This case's gold pool is knives only, so no contract from it can land gloves.
What comes out of the Shadow Case trade-up, net of fees?
One of the three priced gold items comes out, listed today between €77.50 and €109. None of them lists above the €208 ticket. Priced at the wear they land in, 1 of the 12 quotable gold items clears the €208 ticket, 8 percent of the pool. Treat the contract as a way to pick a pool you want, not as a way to make money, and price your own five floats in the calculator before you commit.