The Shadow Collection trade-ups
The Shadow Collection has 3 legal trade-up contracts, from Mil-Spec Grade up to Covert. The cheapest today is ten XM1014 | Scumbria in Battle-Scarred at €0.13 each, a €1.30 ticket, for one of 4 Restricted skins at 25.00% each. Those ten land every outcome in Battle-Scarred. Asks read 2026-09-27.
The cheapest legal contract, worked through
Ten copies of XM1014 | Scumbria in Battle-Scarred at €0.13 each make the cheapest Mil-Spec Grade contract here: €1.30 in, one Restricted skin out. The cheapest Battle-Scarred copy sits at the worst float of its band, 1, which is 100 percent of the way up that skin's own range, and that position, not the raw float, is what maps into each outcome's range. At that float the outcomes land in Battle-Scarred.
Priced at those wears, 1 of the 4 outcomes we can quote nets more than the €1.30 ticket after the venue's fee, and the rest net less. They run from €0.87 to €1.47.
That's the calculator's arithmetic on the cheapest listing, not a pick; price your own ten in the trade-up calculator.
Mil-Spec Grade to Restricted
Ten Mil-Spec Grade skins from The Shadow Collection return one of 4 Restricted skins, each at 25.00%, when all ten come from here.
Cheapest ticket: ten XM1014 | Scumbria in Battle-Scarred, €1.30. Inputs run from XM1014 | Scumbria at €0.13 to Glock-18 | Wraiths at €0.36. Where the cheapest ten land, Galil AR | Stone Cold nets the most, €1.47, and M249 | Nebula Crusader the least, €0.87. StatTrak works too: 7 of the 7 inputs and 4 of the 4 outputs have a StatTrak version, and a StatTrak contract draws only from those outputs.
| Mil-Spec Grade input | Cheapest ask | Wear | Float range |
|---|---|---|---|
 XM1014 | Scumbria | €0.13 | BS | 0.00 to 1.00 |
 SCAR-20 | Green Marine | €0.16 | BS | 0.00 to 0.80 |
 MAG-7 | Cobalt Core | €0.20 | WW | 0.00 to 0.50 |
 MAC-10 | Rangeen | €0.21 | WW | 0.00 to 0.50 |
 Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons | €0.23 | BS | 0.00 to 1.00 |
 FAMAS | Survivor Z | €0.25 | BS | 0.00 to 0.60 |
 Glock-18 | Wraiths | €0.36 | BS | 0.00 to 0.80 |
Free account, one click through Steam. You come straight back here with every row open, and your own inventory priced per copy.
On Steam's own page. We never receive your Steam password or touch your skins.
The button opens steamcommunity.com, so check the address bar. Steam may ask for your password there; it never reaches us. Steam only tells us your public ID. Read-only: we can't trade, sell or move a single item. Free, no card.
Open this page in Safari or Chrome before signing in through Steam.
| Restricted outcome | Chance | Lands at | Net there |
|---|---|---|---|
 Galil AR | Stone Cold | 25.00% | BS 0.9 | €1.47 |
 M249 | Nebula Crusader | 25.00% | BS 1 | €0.87 |
 MP7 | Special Delivery | 25.00% | BS 0.62 | €0.92 |
 P250 | Wingshot | 25.00% | BS 0.9 | €0.88 |
Free account, one click through Steam. You come straight back here with every row open, and your own inventory priced per copy.
On Steam's own page. We never receive your Steam password or touch your skins.
The button opens steamcommunity.com, so check the address bar. Steam may ask for your password there; it never reaches us. Steam only tells us your public ID. Read-only: we can't trade, sell or move a single item. Free, no card.
Open this page in Safari or Chrome before signing in through Steam.
Restricted to Classified
Ten Restricted skins from The Shadow Collection return one of 3 Classified skins, each at 33.33%, when all ten come from here.
Cheapest ticket: ten MP7 | Special Delivery in Battle-Scarred, €8.20. Inputs run from MP7 | Special Delivery at €0.82 to Galil AR | Stone Cold at €1.64. Where the cheapest ten land, AK-47 | Frontside Misty nets the most, €9.57, and G3SG1 | Flux the least, €4.99. StatTrak works too: 4 of the 4 inputs and 3 of the 3 outputs have a StatTrak version, and a StatTrak contract draws only from those outputs.
| Restricted input | Cheapest ask | Wear | Float range |
|---|---|---|---|
| MP7 | Special Delivery | €0.82 | BS | 0.00 to 0.62 |
| M249 | Nebula Crusader | €0.83 | BS | 0.00 to 1.00 |
| P250 | Wingshot | €1.03 | BS | 0.00 to 0.90 |
| Galil AR | Stone Cold | €1.64 | BS | 0.00 to 0.90 |
Free account, one click through Steam. You come straight back here with every row open, and your own inventory priced per copy.
On Steam's own page. We never receive your Steam password or touch your skins.
The button opens steamcommunity.com, so check the address bar. Steam may ask for your password there; it never reaches us. Steam only tells us your public ID. Read-only: we can't trade, sell or move a single item. Free, no card.
Open this page in Safari or Chrome before signing in through Steam.
| Classified outcome | Chance | Lands at | Net there |
|---|---|---|---|
 AK-47 | Frontside Misty | 33.33% | BS 0.87 | €9.57 |
 G3SG1 | Flux | 33.33% | BS 0.9 | €4.99 |
 SSG 08 | Big Iron | 33.33% | BS 0.64 | €6.53 |
Classified to Covert
Ten Classified skins from The Shadow Collection return one of 2 Covert skins, each at 50.00%, when all ten come from here.
Cheapest ticket: ten G3SG1 | Flux in Battle-Scarred, €48.60. Inputs run from G3SG1 | Flux at €4.86 to AK-47 | Frontside Misty at €11.42. Where the cheapest ten land, USP-S | Kill Confirmed nets the most, €41.36, and M4A1-S | Golden Coil the least, €36.06. StatTrak works too: 3 of the 3 inputs and 2 of the 2 outputs have a StatTrak version, and a StatTrak contract draws only from those outputs.
| Classified input | Cheapest ask | Wear | Float range |
|---|---|---|---|
| G3SG1 | Flux | €4.86 | BS | 0.00 to 0.90 |
| SSG 08 | Big Iron | €7.23 | BS | 0.00 to 0.64 |
| AK-47 | Frontside Misty | €11.42 | BS | 0.02 to 0.87 |
| Covert outcome | Chance | Lands at | Net there |
|---|---|---|---|
 M4A1-S | Golden Coil | 50.00% | BS 1 | €36.06 |
 USP-S | Kill Confirmed | 50.00% | BS 1 | €41.36 |
Mixing in other collections
The ten inputs don't have to come from one collection: each input hands its own collection a tenth of the odds. Five Mil-Spec Grade inputs from here and five from The Prisma Collection split the contract 50/50, so each of this collection's 4 outcomes drops to 12.50%, and The Prisma Collection's 5 outcomes share the other half.
The other Mil-Spec Grade contracts nearest this one's €1.30 ticket today:
| Collection | Mil-Spec Grade ticket | Outcomes |
|---|---|---|
| The Prisma Collection | €1.30 | 5 |
| The Snakebite Collection | €1.30 | 5 |
| The Gamma 2 Collection | €1.20 | 5 |
| The Harlequin Collection | €1.20 | 2 |
Every collection's contracts, cheapest ticket first, are on trade-ups by collection.
Where these skins come from
The Shadow Collection drops from the Shadow Case. Its Coverts also feed the five-Covert knife contract of the Shadow Case.
Questions about The Shadow Collection trade-ups
How many trade-up contracts are there in The Shadow Collection?
3: Mil-Spec Grade to Restricted, Restricted to Classified, Classified to Covert.
What is the cheapest trade-up in The Shadow Collection?
Ten XM1014 | Scumbria in Battle-Scarred at €0.13 each, €1.30 for the Mil-Spec Grade to Restricted contract, asks read 2026-09-27.
What are the odds of a trade-up in The Shadow Collection?
With all ten inputs from The Shadow Collection: Mil-Spec Grade to Restricted, 1 in 4; Restricted to Classified, 1 in 3; Classified to Covert, 1 in 2.
Can you do a StatTrak trade-up in The Shadow Collection?
Yes, on Mil-Spec Grade to Restricted, Restricted to Classified, Classified to Covert. Ten StatTrak inputs return a StatTrak skin, drawn only from the outcomes that have a StatTrak version.
Can you trade up to a knife from The Shadow Collection?
Yes, through its Coverts: five of them feed the knife and glove pool of the Shadow Case. That contract has its own page per case.